Monday, October 22, 2012

SEC Expectations

There is no other conference in college football where the expectations are higher than in the South Eastern Conference. Head coaches of these University's are ask to reach or maintain a high standard, much like the CEO's of some of the nations largest companies. For these schools, it's a business, a very big, very profitable business. And just like those CEO's that are shown the door if sales are down or the product isn't changing with the times or its competitors, these coaches are ran out of town faster than an Oregon speed sweep. As loses mount, fans become disgruntled, stadiums become less full and boosters start holding checks. Athletic directors then have decisions to make. For every lost game, it's also lost revenue. That's the reality of this power conference. Players, fans, and boosters expect perfection. The universities have no choice but to expect the same.
But it's also about tradition, pride and rivalries. It's about a long history of winning football programs and coaching legends. It's about packed stadiums on Fall Saturdays with overflowing tailgaters on campus parking lots and playing on a national stage every week.

And all of that is about winning.

See the SEC has built the Mecca of college football conferences because of winning. Without the wins, you don't have packed stadiums. Fan bases don't expect championships. Tradition is not as storied and you play games on Thursday night or Saturday morning.

Ask the Big Ten, they know better than anyone.

And where not talking about the occasional 10 win season. In the SEC, every school, every game, every year counts. Every win, every loss. Every mistake a head coach makes burns into the minds of fans, media and university brass.
With the exception of Vanderbilt and Kentucky, every other team in the conference expects a championship in the near future. Maybe not this year or next, but by year three if your not winning in the SEC your looking for another job. And things are changing in Nashville and Lexington. Vandy not only hired a guy to build their program into a contender, but payed a lot of money to keep him and UK will fire one of their own at seasons end even tough he has taken the team to two bowl games and beat rival Tennessee for the first time in 26 years.
And speaking of Tennessee, they will no doubt replace head coach Derek Dooley at the end if the season after 18 loses and counting in two and half seasons. The Vols have one of the most storied programs in the SEC but haven't won the conference title since 1998 when Phil Fulmer lead them to a national championship. Fourteen years and three coaches later their still trying to reach that goal. By January they'll have a new coach to resume that goal.
And it all comes back to winning.

Gene Chizick won a national title at Auburn two years ago and will be unemployed by Christmas. It's a "what have you done for me lately" world in this conference, and lately means last Saturday.

Win and your a legend. Nick Saban already has a statue at Bryant Denney Stadium right next to Bear Bryant, and he still has 20 years to win titles their. (God forbid).

Lose and your a joke.

Just ask anyone who's coached in the SEC how it is. They will tell you it's win or else. They know this because 98% of them didn't leave on their terms.

Give it about two months, and you can add four more coaches to that list.



Sunday, October 21, 2012

CFB: 3 Teams at #2

What we found out yesterday was that #1 Alabama is, well, still #1. Not that they were ever in any danger against a Tennessee team that is in shambles but they continued to do what they've done all year.
And that is dominate.
So while the Tide have clearly established themselves as the best team in the country, there are three teams who you could argue are the second best team in the land.

Florida - The Gators have to be the biggest surprise this year. The tougher the opponent, the better they play. Will Muschamp has this team believing they can beat anybody in the country, and he may be right. They have played the toughest schedule of any of the top five teams in the BCS and the road won't get much easier. A huge showdown with Georgia on Saturday means a win most likely locks up the SEC's eastern division. This coming off the heels of a flawless performance against another top ten team yesterday in which they made the Ole' Ball Coach look like an old ball coach while picking apart South Carolina. The Gators may be the only team in college football who could match the Crimson Tides physicality. And they should get there chance in Atlanta.

Oregon- Offensive perfection, solid defense and speed everywhere. The Ducks have more speed then the Jamaican Olympic relay team and Chip Kelly knows how to use it. They are also extremely well coached and don't beat themselves with turnovers. They wear teams down with that fast paced, up tempo offense and they can explode with series after series of big plays from anywhere on the field. It's no doubt they can put up points against any defense in the country. There's the argument of "they don't play in the SEC" but trust me, if they did, they would be fine. With that much talent and speed they could play in the NFC North and still be fine.

Kansas St.- Outside of Florida, Bill Snyder's Wildcats are the biggest surprise in football. And many are making valid points that K State is the bigger surprise. I'm not gonna go that route but I will say I understand the argument. Collin Klein is one of the best players in the country and has carried this team right into the thick of the national title race. Now they definitely haven't played the schedule of Florida, but they have won every game they've played in and housed West Virginia yesterday to get to 7-0. This team will go as far as Klein will carry them. I believe they'll need some help to get into the BCS title game. The winner of the SEC championship game (should be Alabama/Florida) is in, which means they most likely need an Oregon loss. But we have definitely learned that this team is legit.

Thursday, October 18, 2012

CFB: 5 Still Alive

Six games into the college football season and the first BCS rankings are out. One through five is no big surprise, though one could argue two and three should be flip flopped. Those top 5 are unbeaten and in the thick of a national title race.
Technically there are still a total of 12 teams that could end up in Miami, but lets be realistic. #12 Mississippi St. is the worst unbeaten team in the country and will lose at least two games by seasons end. Georgia, USC, Oklahoma, South Carolina, and LSU all have a loss. They need to run the table, win their conference championship game and get a some help.
Oregon St. is undefeated but let's be honest, the Beavers glory run ain't gonna last much last much longer.

So here's what you have left. Two of these teams should end up in Miami.

#1Alabama- Still the best team in the country hands down. I've said it all year, the Tide have pretty much RSVP'd a trip to Miami. Other than a tuff game against LSU coming up and a stiff test from the SEC East champs, it's tune up games and stat builders for Saban's squad.
#2 Florida- Surprised that there second in the BCS? You should be. Preseason #23 and picked to finish third in the SEC east the Gators have done nothing but surprise all year. They have to win out, which is asking for a lot, and beat the Tide in Atlanta, which is asking for too much.
#3 Oregon- Probably should be #2 in the polls but really doesn't matter. All the Ducks have to do is take care of business and they will be playing in their second national title game in three years. The loser of the SEC championship game will open up their spot.
#4 Kanas St.- The long shot of the top five. Even if they win out they would need a Florida and Oregon loss to move into the #2 spot, and they probably wouldn't stay at two long if Notre Dame goes unbeaten. It would be a great a story and Collin Klein would win the Heisman.
#5 Notre Dame- Irish fans may be as pissed off as Gene Chisizk's wife at the end of the season. They could go unbeaten and still be left out of the title game. They really need #2,#3, and #4 to lose. Possible but not probable.

There's a couple of teams who will just miss out.

Florida St.- A terrible loss crushed their hopes.
West Virginia- ( See Florida St. )
Kentucky- A tough loss to Western Kentucky dampened the Wildcats hopes. And if that's not enough, 10 other losses will be.

Heisman watch:
Collin Klein QB, KSU- If he keeps winning he'll join the elusive club.

Braxton Miller, QB OSU- I personally don't think a player on a non bowl eligible team should get an invite to New York but there's no denying that he's one of the best in the country.

Jeff Driskel QB, UF- Cant keep looking past the fact that the kid is really really good. May be more athletic than Tebow and he's just getting started.

Right there:
Geno Smith QB, WVU- Didn't have a great game in the loss to Texas Tech but still has play station like numbers. He has time to get back to the front.

Manti T'eo LB, ND- It's unlikely that a defensive player gets the award but this kid is a beast. Best defensive player in the country.

Kiehl Frazier QB, AU- If the 1-4 record as a starter don't close the door, the two touchdowns and seven interceptions may be to much to overcome. Especially when your benched

Monday, October 15, 2012

How Bad Is It: Tennessee Edition

Things on Rocky Top went from not very good to slightly beyond bad on Saturday night. What started off as a promising season with some very attainable expectations has turned into another bad dream for the Big Orange faithful. Things aren't in full fledged melt down mode yet, but #1 Alabama comes into Neyland Stadium this Saturday night and if the expected happens (UT opens up as 19 point underdog) the Volunteer fan base will go all out Chernobyl.
Some are already there. All you have to do is log on to any one of the numerous message boards and you can see that Vol Nation is hanging on by a thread. And if (when) that thread breaks Saturday night it will be the start of some interesting (and some completely ridiculous) discussions for the rest of the season.

There are basically two arguments being made right now. One is Derek Dooley has to go.
He's 0 and way to many against ranked opponents. He's coming off a 5 win season. He lost to Kentucky. His only SEC wins are against bottom tier programs. Some just feel that Dooley can't win at Tennessee. And that some is turning into a lot in hurry.

The other group says give Dooley some more time.
He walked into a disaster. He inherited a roster with below average SEC talent. He has had to play a ton of inexperienced young players. He's recruiting well.

Both groups make some valid points. But it's all in how you look at it. It's obvious Tennessee is not what it once was.
The question Vol fans have to ask is what is realistic expectations?

Not that long ago Tennessee's expectations were very defined. Beat your rivals (Bama, UF, UGa) win the East, play in Atlanta. Recruit. Repeat.
Beating teams like South Carolina, Miss. St and Kentucky were givens on the Vols worst days. But to set expectations now, fans have to acknowledge the difference between then and now.
Nick Saban has built a program at Alabama that John L Smith would have a hard time bringing down.
Les Miles is raking in talent at LSU at a rate not seen since Saban was there.
Muschamp is recruiting elite talent and showing he can coach it to.
The Ole Ball Coach has the Gamecocks rolling.
Georgia is solid as usual.
Throw in the success of Miss St. And Texas AM and this ain't your dads SEC. The days of UT/UF deciding who plays Alabama in Atlanta is over. If Tennessee's expectations are still the same, then some big decisions have to be made at seasons end.
Do you oust Dooley and try and land a "big fish"? Will the results be any different? Some fans think the solution is as simple as loading up a Brinks truck full of cash and dumping it in a top tier coaches front yard. And maybe it is. Most of the time in the coaching world you get what you pay for. You can't have a $5 coach and expect 5 million dollar results. Elite coaches, much like elite talent, require a certain dollar figure for there services. Tennessee should be able to entice an elite coach. Their a storied program with one of the biggest stadiums in America and facilities that are second to none. They make up for their lack of instate talent with the largest recruiting budget in the nation enabling them to go far and wide to land prospects. They play in the best conference in the country and when winning, have a fan base that will treat you like a god.
But they would have to shell out some cash. Lots of it.
Or do you stay the course with Dooley and "the relentless pursuit for
continuos improvement"? Are you okay with an 8 win ceiling? Can you accept not being a contender on any meaningful level in the college football world. Can you live with being the sixth, seventh, even eighth best team in your conference?
I'm not sure which direction the powers to be will go come January. Change could be in the air but it might not be the change the fans want.

UT fans may have to find a way to deal with mediocrity.

Thursday, October 11, 2012

Could the Titans win the BCS National Title?

What? It's a legit question. And I'm a Titans fan. But take a serious look at it. They can't complete in the NFL right now so one can only speculate on how things would play out if they were playing against a more equal opponent.
There a five standout BCS title contenders so let's match the Titans up with each one and pick a winner.

1. Alabama - The Titans lose this game without question. Better offense, better defense, more talent and Nick Saban would coach circles around Mike Munchak. The Titans should petition the league to allow them to draft TJ Yeldon now.

2. Oregon - The Titans are on pace to give up more points than any team in NFL history so mark this one down in the loss column for Tennessee. They have given up 30 or more in every game this year. The Ducks would put up 30 by half time and have a new uniform to do it in.

3. South Carolina - Jadeveon Clowney will be the first pick in next years draft but if this game took place today NFL owners would petition that he never be eligible. He would wreak havoc on Hasslebeck and the Titans O-Line would make him look like Lawrence Taylor on some Lance Armstrong "supplements". So I give it to the Cocks in a close one.

4. Florida - The Gators are young and might make just enough mistakes that the Titans could squeak by. It wouldn't be a barn burner but Hasselbeck would probably throw for a score and CJ would break the 50 yard mark.

5. West Virginia - This would be CJ's coming out party. The Mountaineers defense is slightly worse than the Titans so they should put up 50 points. Problem is, West Virginia's offense is a million times better than the Titans defense. The Mountaineers would put up 60. And 60 beats 50.

So if you kept score, not only would the Titans not win the BCS title, they wouldn't even play in Atlanta for the SEC Championship game.

At least they would get a bowl invite.

Empire State Of Mind

Lets hear it for New York. And Jay Z. After all, if you ain't stealing a verse from Jigga for your blog then you ain't blogging, right? I'll bet Mr. Sean Carter has a few ideas for a couple of his hometown teams but since I couldn't get an interview with the hip hop king, I'll give you my thoughts.

The Yankees are in the post season and have a chance to advance in the AL playoff race while the Jets won't see a postseason game unless they take a team field trip to Yankee Stadium. And team bonding wouldn't be a bad thing for Rex and his boys. But there might just be a way for the two to help each other out. Just hear me out.
A-Rod is a-joke right now for the Brox Bombers hitting somewhere around .001. Ok it's not that bad but he is something like 1 for 200. Ok that's an exaggeration too but you get the point. He's so bad he was benched in the ninth last night, pinch hit for, and his replacement hit not only the game tying homer but also the game winning homer. And Alex is the highest paid player in MLB history. The Yankees have paid him about a trillion dollars.

Mark Sanchez has played like the 5 star recruit he once was. Problem is he's not at USC anymore. He's not on a team with twice as much talent as their opponent. He's actually on a team that probably has less talent than any Trojans team he was a part of. And he has a proven winner sitting behind him that won't see the field because Rex Ryan is an idiot.

So what am I proposing you ask?
Simple.

The Yankees should trade A-Rod to the Jets for Sanchez.
Look at it this way. Sanchez is an athletic guy. You don't get to be an NFL QB by not being a great athlete, even if your a terrible NFL QB(which Sanchez is). You put Sanchez at the plate 15 straight times and I'll bet he puts the bat on the ball and finds a gap at least twice. That's one better than A-Rod.
And Rodriguez to the Jets is a win-win for both teams. The Yankees free up about 10 billion dollars and the Jets get a super star that has already proven that when he gets benched, his replacement comes in and makes miracles happen. His replacement would be Tim Tebow.

And Tim Tebow wakes up in the morning and pisses miracles.

New York needs someone who pisses miracles right now.

I think Jay Z would approve.

Wednesday, October 10, 2012

Are You Surprised?

There are always surprises in sports. Be it good or bad some teams, coaches, or players don't have the types of seasons people thought they would. In worse case scenarios (See the Boston Red Soxs, Arkansas Razorbacks) it's a combination of bad teams plus terrible coaching plus under performing players that causes a team to fold like an accordion. In best case scenarios (See Baltimore Orioles, Florida Gators) it's a talented team with solid coaching that have their players playing at a high level which leads to over achieving and success.

What determines these outcomes could come from one wrong decision that went unnoticed or a multitude of mistakes that can combine to form a losing atmosphere of almost unimaginable proportions. Is essence, the margin for era is very small but the results can be very big.

The Red Sox's made monumental errors from day one. Fired a two time World Series winning manager, replaced him with a two time loser that had an arrogance and attitude problem, trimmed the talent off their roster and tried to be competitive in the toughest division in baseball with triple a players. Even Des Bryant thinks Boston makes bad decisions.

And there's Arkansas.
Even Boston thinks Arkansas makes bad decisions.

On the flip side of that you have the Orioles who have been terrible for decades but now find themselves not only in the playoffs but have a chance to move on. A great managerial hire and terrific pitching from a young bullpen has people in Maryland talking about more than the Terrapin's uniforms or political debates.

The Gators game into the college football season barley ranked in the top 25 and people already had head coach Will Muschamp on the hot seat after one season in Gainesville. Five weeks in, their the fourth ranked team in the country and in the thick of the national title race. Great coaching combined with great athletes usually equals success. Just ask Nick Saban.

Sometimes as fans we underestimate a lot of the decisions being made. We overlook them in the grand scheme of things.

But it's those decisions that greatly effect the grand scheme of things.

One bad decision and all of the sudden, things aren't so grand.